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| Posted: Master @ Sat Apr 14, 2007 3:13 pm |
WASHINGTON - Wholesale prices shot up by 1 percent in March, mostly reflecting more expensive gasoline and food. However, when those volatile energy and food prices are removed, all other prices were flat in March, suggesting that inflation is not spreading throughout a wider range of goods in the economy, the Labor Department's report, released Friday, also showed.
The 1 percent increase in the Producer Price Index, which measures the costs of goods before they reach stores shelves, came after a 1.3 percent spike in February. The flat reading on "core" prices marked an improvement from a 0.4 percent rise in the previous month.
The pickup in overall wholesale inflation was worse than the 0.7 percent increase economists were expecting. On the other hand, the flat reading on core prices was better. Analysts were forecasting a 0.2 percent rise there.
"Food and energy costs are surging, but if you don't have to eat and drive, life is not that bad," quipped Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors. "This was a pretty good report, if you are a central banker. If you live in the real world, it was not pleasant news."
Wall Street liked the flat reading on "core wholesale prices. The Dow closed up 59.17 points at 12,612.13.
From the Federal Reserve's perspective, the biggest risk facing the economy right now is that inflation doesn't recede as policymakers expect. The Fed cares so much about inflation because when it starts spiraling it can be hard — and painful — to control. Inflation eats away at workers' paychecks and people's investments and can put a squeeze on companies' profits.
The Fed hasn't budged a key interest rate since August. Before that it had steadily boosted rates for two years to fend off inflation. The Fed hasn't ruled out another rate increase if inflation were to show signs of worsening.
Although the Fed watches a variety of inflation barometers, it is especially interested in the behavior of "core" prices — those that exclude energy and food, which tend to swing widely from month to month. The good behavior of core prices in March suggested that inflation is not in danger of spreading throughout the economy. It also suggested that companies are acting with restraint in passing along their higher fuel costs in the prices they charge wholesalers.
In other economic news, the U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the second straight month, helped by a sharp drop in oil imports. Exports, however, fell.
The Commerce Department reported that the trade deficit came to $58.4 billion in February, the smallest since November.
The United States' politically sensitive deficit with China was trimmed by 13.3 percent to $18.4 billion in February, the smallest since last May.
The wholesale inflation report, meanwhile, showed that all energy prices rose by 3.6 percent in March, the most since November. Gasoline prices jumped by 8.7 percent, also the highest since November. Residential natural gas prices increased 3.3 percent. Diesel fuel prices shot up 8.8 percent. Prices for liquefied petroleum gas, such as propane, went up 6.5 percent.
Businesses and consumers might see some relief from rising gasoline prices.
The Energy Department said Tuesday that the recent sharp rise in gasoline costs is likely to slow in the coming weeks with prices averaging $2.81 a gallon over the vacation driving season, about 3 cents lower than last spring and summer.
In the wholesale inflation report, food prices in March rose by 1.4 percent, following a sharp 1.9 percent increase the month before. Last month's gain reflected rising prices for vegetables, beef and veal, dairy products and processed young chickens, among other things.
In other categories, computer prices sank by 2.6 percent last month. Light truck prices dipped 1.2 percent. Car prices increased 0.2 percent.
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